Now I See: Not So Random Probability

Recently, there has been one topic which happened to be on my mind for a while - just didn't have the time to write it up, but since I found a few extra minutes this morning, I'd guess its about time to update my posts too.

It revolves pretty much around the common saying that life is unfair. Well, to start off with, after deep thought, the statement itself is invalid. What determines fair and unfair in life? What determines justice for wrong deeds? Does killing one merit the killing of the killer? These are all in actual fact, derived out of our very own, personal opinions, don't you think? Who decided that its not fair to get punched and not punch in return? An eye for an eye? Its pretty much us. Science has nothing to do with it. While, well, there's the law that every force in any direction will generate an equivalent force in the opposite may probably apply, lol... Well, that's not pretty much the topic now though, but more on the 'luck' part of it.

Many people believe that life is unfair, and luck goes to certain people who then get to enjoy life or get blessed more than others. Well, if that is what you might want to call luck, that is. I personally do not believe in any of this - but I do believe that we have insufficient knowledge of the events and conditions around us to make the most appropriate choice. And when we fail to do so, we make a mistake, and then blame it on luck for our lack of knowledge.

Let me present it in a different angle: Consider a dice. We always think that a dice is pretty random, and whatever number we get out of a dice is out of pure luck. Well, that is if the dice was perfect, and if the conditions in which the dice is thrown every time is done perfectly, scientifically to say, in a manner that is completely random and impossible to predict. Well, usually that is - because we can't throw a dice twice in the exact same conditions as the last technically. However, consider this - What are the conditions that will decide which face of the dice will face up in the end?

1. The design on the dice itself - Is the dice designed to have all sides equal? Is the material weight balanced? Any damage to the dice faces? The surface type of the dice (Which will determine how it will roll on the ground)?
2. Throwing/dropping method - How much spin is done when releasing the die? Any acceleration during the throw upwards/downwards (Determining the velocity of impact)? How far from the ground? Any contact with any objects during the fall?
3. Falling medium - What is the dice falling through? Air? Water? Air viscosity? Air pressure? Any wind? How strong is the gravity?
4. Surface impact - What kind of surface? Surface layout? Any interfering objects? Bumps?

And that is probably not the exhaustive list - Now, consider that IF we knew all the conditions and variables controlling the fall of the dice, would be be able to predict which face the dice would turn up every time? IF we did KNOW - We can predict the outcome EVERY time!

And that is pretty much what I wanted to say - Life is never unfair. It is just whether we know the rules - and i'st just whether we know the conditions around us when we are making decisions. Some people may make 'lucky' decisions despite their lack of knowledge, while others may not - but that doesn't make luck exist. On the other hand, there are some who constantly appear to be successful and always happy, etc - they have better knowledge of the game and make right decisions everytime. Feng Shui? BS. But not to completely disregard these astrological pseudosciences, to be honest - many astrologers do have many truths presented in their material - Just that their ability to 'play cheat' is obviously fake unless they could understand the mechanics of quantum physics for starters.



Ina different picture, have you ever tried to play chess with a grand master? Or just a very experienced veteran? Or play monopoly, or even DotA (for those gamers) with someone very experienced. Obviously we will lose to the experienced player. BUT what is the first thing we say after losing a few games with them? "THIS GAME IS NOT FAIR!" Now you know, these are the words of wisdom that only comes out of the mouths of fools. Its not that the game is unfair. You don't know how to play the game. Instead of blaming the game and rage-quitting - learn to play it - Because life is a game you can't quit playing without getting yourself killed.

Life has far too many rules to muster. And conditions across such a massive landscape its impossible to keep track of everything to make the best decisions every time. However, that is our duty to do our best in maintaining an operatable level of decision making every time. Otherwise, we would be one of the many who would say "life is unfair, life has no meaning". Well, since we can't quit the game, we have only one other option unless well, we really do quit the game - after which the number of players drop by 1, which means nothing much to a game of 6 billion players - still the most popular eh? So we come back to the fundamental principle - Learning is a never ending process - and well, when you've learn everything it doesn't mean you have to bully new players - you have the option to have mercy and teach them how to play as opposed to what the world is doing, which would also solve the mess were in. Well, perhaps someday, we might get lucky.



Dez

1 comment:

ICCF said...

This is a post from Dez's blog, if you guys wanna visit his blog, just click on his name at the bottom of this blog post, hope you all enjoy this post,

And remember it's not random that you suddenly 'stumble upon' this blog. :P

God Bless you all~